Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
