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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farsley Celtic win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farsley Celtic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farsley Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Farsley Celtic | Draw | Gloucester City |
41.65% ( 0.04) | 25.05% ( 0.22) | 33.29% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 56.93% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.54% ( -1.07) | 46.46% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.26% ( -1.01) | 68.74% ( 1.01) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( -0.44) | 22.25% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.31% ( -0.67) | 55.69% ( 0.66) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( -0.67) | 26.78% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.94% ( -0.89) | 62.06% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farsley Celtic | Draw | Gloucester City |
| 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.65% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.12% Total : 33.29% |
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