SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
36.64% ( 0.43) | 26.3% ( -0.17) | 37.06% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.54% ( 0.71) | 51.46% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.73% ( 0.62) | 73.27% ( -0.62) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( 0.59) | 27.17% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.43% ( 0.77) | 62.57% ( -0.77) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( 0.18) | 26.92% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% ( 0.24) | 62.25% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.64% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 37.06% |
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