Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 57.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southport | Draw | Gloucester City |
57.09% ( 0.13) | 23.17% ( -0.06) | 19.74% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 50.76% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.21% ( 0.14) | 48.78% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.11% ( 0.13) | 70.88% ( -0.13) |
Southport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.14% ( 0.09) | 16.85% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.13% ( 0.17) | 46.86% ( -0.17) |
Gloucester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.05% ( 0.01) | 38.94% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.33% ( 0.01) | 75.67% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Southport | Draw | Gloucester City |
1-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 57.08% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.17% | 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.42% Total : 19.74% |
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