Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
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