SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Southport had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Southport |
51.45% ( -0.04) | 23.41% ( 0) | 25.13% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.19% ( 0.03) | 43.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.8% ( 0.02) | 66.2% ( -0.02) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.93% ( -0) | 17.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.75% ( -0.01) | 47.25% ( 0.01) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.86% ( 0.05) | 31.14% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.53% ( 0.05) | 67.47% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Southport |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 3.96% Total : 51.45% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 25.13% |
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