SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Gloucester City |
66.99% ( 9.82) | 18.77% ( -3.9) | 14.23% ( -5.92) |
| Both teams to score 53.74% ( 0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.98% ( 7.13) | 39.02% ( -7.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.66% ( 7.11) | 61.34% ( -7.11) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.24% ( 5.13) | 10.76% ( -5.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.25% ( 10.38) | 34.75% ( -10.39) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.22% ( -2.78) | 39.77% ( 2.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.55% ( -2.66) | 76.44% ( 2.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Gloucester City |
| 2-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 9.54% ( -1.27)3-0 @ 7.9% ( 1.81)3-1 @ 7.29% ( 1.22)4-0 @ 4.4% ( 1.6)4-1 @ 4.06% ( 1.27)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.35)5-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.93)4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.49)5-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.79)Other @ 4.36% Total : 66.99% | 1-1 @ 8.8% ( -1.95) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.4)0-0 @ 4.28% ( -1.6)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.77% | 1-2 @ 4.06% ( -1.29) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( -1.9)0-2 @ 1.82% ( -1.09)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.53)Other @ 1.77% Total : 14.23% |
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