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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Farsley Celtic | Draw | Southport |
28.65% ( -0.02) | 23.33% ( 0) | 48.02% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.54% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.32% ( -0.01) | 40.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.94% ( -0.01) | 63.06% ( 0.01) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.09% ( -0.02) | 26.91% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.77% ( -0.02) | 62.23% ( 0.02) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.82% ( 0) | 17.18% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.56% ( 0) | 47.44% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farsley Celtic | Draw | Southport |
| 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.07% 2-0 @ 3.98% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.65% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.17% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.53% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.21% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.44% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.04% Total : 48.02% |
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