SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Kettering Town |
48.86% ( -1.58) | 24.43% ( 0.67) | 26.71% ( 0.91) |
| Both teams to score 55.21% ( -1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53% ( -2.22) | 47% ( 2.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.75% ( -2.11) | 69.25% ( 2.11) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.7% ( -1.48) | 19.3% ( 1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.96% ( -2.49) | 51.04% ( 2.49) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.41% ( -0.46) | 31.59% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.01% ( -0.54) | 67.99% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Kettering Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 8.25% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.09% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.55)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.55) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.77% Total : 26.71% |
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