SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chorley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
41.56% ( 0.05) | 27.23% ( -0.02) | 31.2% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.2% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.92% ( 0.06) | 56.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.84% ( 0.04) | 77.16% ( -0.05) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% ( 0.05) | 26.59% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.19% ( 0.07) | 61.81% ( -0.07) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.02% ( 0.01) | 32.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.44% ( 0.01) | 69.56% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.56% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.2% |
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