SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 65.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 13.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Gloucester City |
65.83% ( 0.07) | 20.22% ( -0.04) | 13.95% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.82% ( 0.07) | 46.18% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.53% ( 0.06) | 68.48% ( -0.06) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.82% ( 0.04) | 13.18% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.11% ( 0.08) | 39.89% ( -0.08) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.33% ( -0.02) | 44.67% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.33% ( -0.02) | 80.66% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Gloucester City |
| 2-0 @ 12.08% 1-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 65.82% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.79% Total : 20.22% | 0-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.32% Total : 13.95% |
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