Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
