Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for York City in this match.
