Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Guiseley win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
