SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Hereford United |
50.68% ( -3.84) | 24.61% ( 1.19) | 24.71% ( 2.66) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.64% ( -2.35) | 49.36% ( 2.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.59% ( -2.15) | 71.41% ( 2.15) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( -2.35) | 19.48% ( 2.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.65% ( -4) | 51.35% ( 4) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.5% ( 1.1) | 34.49% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.79% ( 1.16) | 71.21% ( -1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.5)3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.55)3-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.68)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.41)4-0 @ 2% ( -0.46)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.96% Total : 50.68% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.59) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.62)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.85) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.49)0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.55)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.23)Other @ 2.15% Total : 24.71% |
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