Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Rushall Olympic had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Rushall Olympic win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
0.12) 
-0.14) 
