SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Chorley |
39.19% ( -0.01) | 26.32% ( -0.02) | 34.49% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.29% ( 0.07) | 51.71% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.52% ( 0.06) | 73.48% ( -0.06) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.15% ( 0.03) | 25.85% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.18% ( 0.03) | 60.82% ( -0.03) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( 0.06) | 28.58% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% ( 0.07) | 64.38% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.19% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 34.49% |
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