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National League North | Gameweek 22
Dec 6, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
C

Hereford
1 - 1
Chorley

Rus (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smith (90+3')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: King's Lynn 2-1 Hereford
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawChorley
39.19% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 26.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 34.49% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.96% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.29% (0.072000000000003 0.07)51.71% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.52% (0.064 0.06)73.48% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (0.028000000000006 0.03)25.85% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18% (0.033000000000001 0.03)60.82% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (0.058999999999997 0.06)28.58% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62% (0.071999999999996 0.07)64.38% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 39.19%
    Chorley 34.49%
    Draw 26.31%
Hereford UnitedDrawChorley
1-0 @ 10% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.47%
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 39.19%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.49%

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Form Guide
Last Game: King's Lynn 2-1 Hereford
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-2 Darlington
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-1 Peterborough Sports
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 0-1 Hereford
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 2-0 Hereford
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-3 Portsmouth
Friday, November 4 at 7.55pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chorley 3-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 3-0 Chorley
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-0 Kettering
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-0 Spennymoor
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 2-1 Chorley
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 4-3 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North


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