Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Southport had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.