Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Guiseley had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Guiseley win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
