SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Warrington Town had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Warrington Town win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Warrington Town |
44.89% ( -0.24) | 25.97% ( 0.08) | 29.15% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.08% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.08% ( -0.24) | 51.93% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.33% ( -0.21) | 73.67% ( 0.22) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( -0.22) | 23.06% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% ( -0.32) | 56.89% ( 0.33) |
| Warrington Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.69% ( -0) | 32.32% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.18% ( -0.01) | 68.82% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Warrington Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.89% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.15% |
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