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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
25.97% ( -2.92) | 25.57% ( -0.57) | 48.46% ( 3.49) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.75% ( 0.52) | 52.24% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.05% ( 0.44) | 73.94% ( -0.45) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.01% ( -2.04) | 34.98% ( 2.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.27% ( -2.2) | 71.72% ( 2.2) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.42% ( 1.81) | 21.57% ( -1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.34% ( 2.7) | 54.66% ( -2.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.63) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.52)2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.59)3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.3)Other @ 2.09% Total : 25.97% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.74)1-3 @ 4.77% ( 0.39)0-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.6)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.24)0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.31)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.35% Total : 48.45% |
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