SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that King's Lynn Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| King's Lynn Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
55.42% ( 0.04) | 24.52% ( 0.1) | 20.06% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.28% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.32% ( -0.51) | 53.68% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.83% ( -0.43) | 75.17% ( 0.44) |
| King's Lynn Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.72% ( -0.18) | 19.28% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.98% ( -0.3) | 51.02% ( 0.3) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.58% ( -0.43) | 41.42% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.07% ( -0.38) | 77.93% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| King's Lynn Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.14% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.9% Total : 55.41% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.51% | 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.16% Total : 20.06% |
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