Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Spennymoor Town
42.77% ( -0.16)	27.45% ( 0.5)	29.77% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 47.95% (

-1.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.61% (

-1.99)

57.38% (

1.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.8% (

-1.61)

78.2% (

1.61)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.45% (

-1)

26.55% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.24% (

-1.34)

61.75% (

1.34)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.28% (

-1.31)

34.71% (

1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.56% (

-1.41)

71.44% (

1.41)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 42.77%

Spennymoor Town 29.77%

Draw 27.45%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Spennymoor Town
1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.77%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.68) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.45%	0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.19% Total : 29.77%