SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Needham Market win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 37.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Needham Market win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest South Shields win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Needham Market would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Needham Market | Draw | South Shields |
37.7% ( 0.06) | 24.87% ( -0.01) | 37.43% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.25% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.97% ( 0.05) | 45.03% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.62% ( 0.05) | 67.38% ( -0.05) |
| Needham Market Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% ( 0.05) | 23.61% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.31% ( 0.08) | 57.69% ( -0.07) |
| South Shields Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( -0) | 23.75% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.1% ( -0) | 57.9% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Needham Market | Draw | South Shields |
| 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.7% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.04% 0-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.43% |
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