SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 51.15%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Buxton |
51.15% ( 0.12) | 24.32% ( -0.02) | 24.52% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% ( -0.03) | 48.32% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( -0.03) | 70.46% ( 0.03) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.11% ( 0.03) | 18.89% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.63% ( 0.06) | 50.37% ( -0.06) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.91% ( -0.11) | 34.09% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.23% ( -0.11) | 70.77% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.15% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 24.52% |
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