SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 47.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 26.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leamington FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leamington FC | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
47.09% ( -1) | 26.69% ( 0.41) | 26.22% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 47.93% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.66% ( -1.14) | 56.34% ( 1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.64% ( -0.93) | 77.36% ( 0.93) |
| Leamington FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( -0.95) | 23.93% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.84% ( -1.38) | 58.16% ( 1.38) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.01% ( -0.12) | 37% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.22% ( -0.12) | 73.78% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leamington FC | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.56% Total : 47.08% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.77% Total : 26.22% |
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