SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Kettering Town had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Kettering Town win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Kettering Town |
55.14% ( -0.07) | 23.94% ( 0.02) | 20.91% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.2% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.56% ( -0.06) | 50.43% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.63% ( -0.06) | 72.36% ( 0.05) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.84% ( -0.05) | 18.16% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.86% ( -0.08) | 49.14% ( 0.08) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.34% ( 0.01) | 38.65% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.6% ( 0.01) | 75.39% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Kettering Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 55.14% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 20.91% |
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