SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banbury United | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
44.44% ( -2.65) | 25.21% ( 0.47) | 30.35% ( 2.19) |
| Both teams to score 55.15% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.77% ( -0.84) | 48.23% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.62% ( -0.77) | 70.38% ( 0.78) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% ( -1.51) | 21.7% ( 1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.15% ( -2.37) | 54.85% ( 2.37) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% ( 1.13) | 29.56% ( -1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.41% ( 1.35) | 65.59% ( -1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banbury United | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.44)3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.35)3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.42)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.22)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.24)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.44% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.36)0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.44)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.23)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.35% |
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