Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Southport had a probability of 37.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.