SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Telford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
42.63% ( -0.3) | 25.75% ( 0.05) | 31.62% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% ( -0.11) | 50.01% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% ( -0.09) | 71.99% ( 0.09) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.68% ( -0.19) | 23.32% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.73% ( -0.28) | 57.26% ( 0.28) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% ( 0.12) | 29.59% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.37% ( 0.14) | 65.63% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.62% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.62% |
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