Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Southport had a probability of 16.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.85%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Southport win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
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