Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Spennymoor Town in this match.