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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hereford United in this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Hereford United |
26.11% ( -0.99) | 24.73% ( -0.23) | 49.16% ( 1.22) |
| Both teams to score 53.71% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.26% ( 0.25) | 48.74% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.16% ( 0.23) | 70.84% ( -0.22) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.02% ( -0.65) | 32.99% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.43% ( -0.73) | 69.57% ( 0.74) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% ( 0.61) | 19.86% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.04% ( 0.98) | 51.96% ( -0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.46% Total : 26.11% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.87% Total : 49.15% |
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