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National League North | Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park

Brackley Town
2 - 0
Hereford

Roberts (12'), Lilley (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rushall Olympic 0-2 Brackley Town
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 3-3 Alfreton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawHereford United
50.24% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 25.58% (0.0010000000000012 0) 24.18% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.3% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.36% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)53.63% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.86% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)75.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)21.37% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.64% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)54.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)37.3% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.91% (0.010000000000002 0.01)74.08% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 50.24%
    Hereford United 24.18%
    Draw 25.58%
Brackley TownDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 12.3%
2-0 @ 9.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 50.24%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 7.97% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 24.18%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 0-2 Brackley Town
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: South Shields 0-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 0-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Chorley
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 2-2 Brackley Town
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-3 King's Lynn
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 3-3 Alfreton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-1 Chorley
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-4 Hereford
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-1 Chester
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League North


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