SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Buxton |
43.32% ( -0.24) | 25.06% ( 0.13) | 31.62% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.3% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.98% ( -0.51) | 47.02% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.74% ( -0.48) | 69.26% ( 0.47) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% ( -0.32) | 21.7% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.15% ( -0.5) | 54.85% ( 0.49) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% ( -0.18) | 28.11% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.22% ( -0.23) | 63.78% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.45% Total : 43.33% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.62% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
