SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Aveley |
43.25% ( 0) | 25.4% ( -0.02) | 31.34% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.01% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.37% ( 0.11) | 48.62% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.26% ( 0.1) | 70.74% ( -0.11) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( 0.05) | 22.42% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.06% ( 0.08) | 55.94% ( -0.08) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( 0.07) | 29.09% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.99% ( 0.09) | 65.01% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Aveley |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 43.26% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.34% |
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