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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Welling United |
64.41% ( -1.7) | 19.39% ( 0.29) | 16.2% ( 1.42) |
| Both teams to score 56.54% ( 2.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.24% ( 1.58) | 37.76% ( -1.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40% ( 1.68) | 60.01% ( -1.67) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.93% ( 0.02) | 11.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.57% ( 0.03) | 35.43% ( -0.02) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.58% ( 2.8) | 36.42% ( -2.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% ( 2.73) | 73.21% ( -2.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | Welling United |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.74)1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.68)3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.55)4-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.28)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.15)5-1 @ 1.75% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.13)Other @ 4.43% Total : 64.41% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.38)0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.39% | 1-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.34) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.22)Other @ 2.34% Total : 16.2% |
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