SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Farnborough Town |
| 36.14% | 25.51% ( -0) | 38.35% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.91% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% ( 0.02) | 48.01% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% ( 0.02) | 70.18% ( -0.01) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% ( 0.01) | 25.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.2% ( 0.01) | 60.79% ( -0.01) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( 0.01) | 24.61% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.88% ( 0.01) | 59.12% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | Farnborough Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 36.14% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.02% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.35% |
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