SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 52.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
52.73% ( 1.29) | 24.65% ( 0.49) | 22.62% ( -1.78) |
| Both teams to score 50.29% ( -3.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.55% ( -3.69) | 51.44% ( 3.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.74% ( -3.31) | 73.25% ( 3.31) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.52% ( -0.91) | 19.47% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.66% ( -1.52) | 51.33% ( 1.52) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.46% ( -3.65) | 37.54% ( 3.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.68% ( -3.76) | 74.32% ( 3.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.96% ( 1.37) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.86)2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.37)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.91% Total : 52.73% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 1.02)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.53)Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.46)0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.36)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.35)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.18)Other @ 1.65% Total : 22.62% |
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