Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Welling United win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
