Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 54.78%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 22.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dartford in this match.
