Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
