SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Tonbridge Angels | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Welling United | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Concord Rangers | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Worthing | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Chelmsford City | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Bath City | 4 | 1 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Chelmsford City |
25.34% ( -1.16) | 24.26% ( 0.01) | 50.4% ( 1.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.67% ( -0.96) | 47.33% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.45% ( -0.9) | 69.55% ( 0.9) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.14% ( -1.45) | 32.86% ( 1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.57% ( -1.64) | 69.43% ( 1.64) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.2% ( 0.09) | 18.81% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.77% ( 0.15) | 50.23% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.47% Total : 25.34% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 5.35% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.23% Total : 50.4% |
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