National League South | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Park View Road
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Chelmsford City.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result |
| Welling United | Draw | Chelmsford City |
25.34% ( -1.16) | 24.26% ( 0.01) | 50.4% ( 1.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( -1.11) |
| 52.67% ( -0.96) | 47.33% ( 0.96) |
| 30.45% ( -0.9) | 69.55% ( 0.9) |
| 67.14% ( -1.45) | 32.86% ( 1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.57% ( -1.64) | 69.43% ( 1.64) |
| 81.2% ( 0.09) | 18.81% ( -0.09) |
