SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Dulwich Hamlet had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Dulwich Hamlet win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Dulwich Hamlet |
57.06% ( -0.14) | 22.27% ( 0.05) | 20.67% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.15% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.32% ( -0.13) | 43.68% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.93% ( -0.12) | 66.07% ( 0.13) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.91% ( -0.09) | 15.09% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.38% ( -0.17) | 43.62% ( 0.17) |
| Dulwich Hamlet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.95% ( 0.01) | 35.05% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.2% ( 0.01) | 71.8% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Dulwich Hamlet |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 57.06% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.27% | 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 20.67% |
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