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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Chelmsford City |
32.9% ( -0.51) | 25.07% ( -0.09) | 42.02% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 56.74% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.34% ( 0.28) | 46.66% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.08% ( 0.27) | 68.92% ( -0.27) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.89% ( -0.18) | 27.11% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.5% ( -0.23) | 62.5% ( 0.23) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% ( 0.42) | 22.16% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.45% ( 0.62) | 55.55% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.9% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.02% |
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