SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Dulwich Hamlet had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Dulwich Hamlet win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dulwich Hamlet | Draw | Chelmsford City |
34.71% ( -0.01) | 24.88% ( -0.79) | 40.41% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 57.9% ( 2.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.64% ( 3.57) | 45.36% ( -3.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.3% ( 3.32) | 67.7% ( -3.32) |
| Dulwich Hamlet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( 1.69) | 25.41% ( -1.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.78% ( 2.26) | 60.22% ( -2.25) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( 1.99) | 22.38% ( -1.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.12% ( 2.89) | 55.88% ( -2.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dulwich Hamlet | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.83)2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.71% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.37)0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.92)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.81)0-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.31)0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.34)1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.2)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.41% |
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