SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelmsford City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
57.05% ( -0.12) | 22.95% ( 0.04) | 20% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.49% ( -0.08) | 47.51% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.28% ( -0.08) | 69.72% ( 0.08) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.59% ( -0.07) | 16.42% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.92% ( -0.13) | 46.08% ( 0.13) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.07% ( 0.03) | 37.93% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.3% ( 0.03) | 74.7% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 57.05% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.94% | 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.55% Total : 20% |
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