Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelmsford City | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
52.17% ( -0) | 24.19% ( 0) | 23.63% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 52.89% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.4% ( -0.02) | 48.59% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.28% ( -0.01) | 70.71% ( 0.01) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.4% ( -0.01) | 18.6% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.12% ( -0.01) | 49.88% ( 0.01) |
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.98% ( -0.01) | 35.02% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.23% ( -0.01) | 71.76% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Chelmsford City | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.17% 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 52.17% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.03% 0-2 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.04% Total : 23.63% |
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