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National League South | Gameweek 10
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Thames Road

Concord Rangers
2 - 4
Eastbourne

Green (48', 82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hutchinson (26'), Remy (33'), Perez (62'), Luer (84')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Concord Rangers and Eastbourne Borough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-3 Braintree
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-1 Welling United
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastbourne Borough would win this match.

Result
Concord RangersDrawEastbourne Borough
31.66% (-0.308 -0.31) 25.7% (0.087 0.09) 42.64% (0.228 0.23)
Both teams to score 54.18% (-0.406 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.23% (-0.469 -0.47)49.77% (0.475 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22% (-0.421 -0.42)71.78% (0.42700000000001 0.43)
Concord Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (-0.438 -0.44)29.45% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.55% (-0.541 -0.54)65.45% (0.547 0.55)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)23.21% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.138 -0.14)57.11% (0.144 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Concord Rangers 31.66%
    Eastbourne Borough 42.64%
    Draw 25.69%
Concord RangersDrawEastbourne Borough
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.11% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 31.66%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.131 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 9.98% (0.164 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.91% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.55% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 42.64%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-3 Braintree
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-0 Concord Rangers
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 5-0 Concord Rangers
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-1 Welling United
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 3-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-1 Eastbourne
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 2-0 Eastbourne
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-3 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South


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