SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 1-0 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheshunt | Draw | Chelmsford City |
27.84% ( -0.41) | 24.68% ( 0.12) | 47.47% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.69% ( -0.78) | 47.3% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.47% ( -0.73) | 69.53% ( 0.73) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.11% ( -0.71) | 30.88% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.83% ( -0.84) | 67.17% ( 0.84) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.01% ( -0.19) | 19.99% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.83% ( -0.31) | 52.17% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheshunt | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.95% Total : 27.84% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.88% Total : 47.47% |
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